Eagle Farm preview and tips: $7.50 best bet [May 4, 2024]
With the carnival starting to get into full swing there is plenty of southern states form to consider heading into Saturday's Eagle Farm card.
Eagle Farm Race 1
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Stradbroke Calcutta 13 June (Bm90) (1835m)
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18 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 890 | 21 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | |||
6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 7 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 9.6 | 6.5 | 7.1 | 6.5 | 6 | 6.5 | |||
8.5 | 8 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8 | 6.6 | 700 | 8.5 | 7.9 | 8.5 | 9 | 8 | |||
4.8 | 5 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 5 | 5.2 | 90 | 5 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 5 | 5 | |||
11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 10.6 | 11 | 12 | 11 | |||
6.5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6.5 | 1.65 | 16 | 7 | 7.1 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | |||
15 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 1.93 | 890 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 15 | |||
5 | 5.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 2 | 27 | 5 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | |||
101 | 91 | 151 | 81 | 101 | 2 | 240 | 61 | 101 | 81 | 126 | 101 | |||
6.5 | 6 | 6.5 | 6 | 6 | 6.6 | 32 | 6 | 5.4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |||
Market percentage
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121 | 120 | 118 | 119 | 121 | 429 | 29 | 120 | 123 | 121 | 119 | 121 | ||
Quick Bet
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HOLSTEIN (7) is fitter for three outings and three of his five wins have been at this trip. When fourth-up last preparation he smashed a Saturday Highway field at Rosehill by five lengths over 1800m and a repeat has him in the finish.
YOUTH SPIRIT (2) won the Group 3 Chester Vase three years ago but has done little since arriving in Australia. Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott have brought him North for a purpose, he won't meet a much weaker field and with Adam Hyeronimus from gate one can give a sight.
WAPITI (3) has been up for a long time but has recent winning form and wasn't disgraced here last week at Listed level. Winning rider Nikita Beriman gets back on and a positive ride will help.
Verdict - Nothing would surprise but FIFTH POSITION (4) is due.
Eagle Farm Race 2
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XXXX (Bm78) (1600m)
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21 | 19 | 23 | 20 | 19 | 14 | 900 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 19 | |||
3.9 | 3.9 | 4 | 3.9 | 4 | 4.5 | 22 | 4 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 4 | 4 | |||
4.4 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 8.8 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4.5 | |||
7.5 | 7.5 | 8 | 8 | 7.5 | 5 | 8.4 | 8.5 | 7.8 | 8 | 8.5 | 7.5 | |||
5 | 5 | 5 | 5.5 | 5 | 4.3 | 12 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |||
4.8 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 5.3 | 15 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | |||
7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 8 | 8 | 3.3 | 5.9 | 8 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 8 | 8 | |||
Market percentage
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121 | 120 | 118 | 116 | 120 | 148 | 60 | 116 | 118 | 120 | 118 | 120 | ||
Quick Bet
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STARZAM (7) has found trouble at both outings since resuming but not been beaten far. The in-form Vlad Duric replaces the apprentice Cejay Graham and a senior rider may be what he needs,
KIRIKAN (13) is an improving three-year-old taking on older horses. He placed in a Group 3 two starts back and made ground when resuming behind Exotique Miss. The Derby is on his agenda but taking on seasoned horses over this trip is a good stepping stone.
Tony Gollan has stepped TENZING (6) up to Saturday grade after he got the job done at the midweeks last start. He doesn't have much dash but rarely runs poorly and Jim Orman will have him close enough if good enough.
Verdict - Many chances, value with REDWOOD SHADOW (10).
Eagle Farm Race 3
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Seven (Bm78) (1200m)
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1.65 | 1.65 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.65 | 1.82 | 1.84 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.65 | 1.65 | |||
8.5 | 8.5 | 9 | 9 | 8.5 | 10.5 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | |||
10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9.5 | 12 | 12.5 | 9.5 | 8.8 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | |||
19 | 18 | 21 | 15 | 17 | 25 | 28 | 17 | 13.6 | 18 | 19 | 17 | |||
21 | 23 | 29 | 19 | 21 | 34 | 36 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 26 | 21 | |||
6.5 | 6 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6 | 7.8 | 8 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6 | |||
26 | 23 | 29 | 26 | 23 | 36 | 38 | 26 | 27.5 | 23 | 26 | 23 | |||
151 | 101 | 251 | 151 | 126 | 260 | 470 | 101 | 151 | 126 | 151 | 126 | |||
15 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 19.5 | 21 | 17 | 16.2 | 15 | 16 | 15 | |||
Market percentage
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119 | 121 | 117 | 119 | 122 | 101 | 98 | 118 | 120 | 119 | 118 | 122 | ||
Quick Bet
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MY SNOW QUEEN (8) hasn't won for over a year but bad gates haven't helped at recent outings. She resumes on the back of a trial with Robbie Dolan and will get all the favours from the inside draw.
SHOHEI (9) only battled last preparation but was racing in stronger company than this. Both her wins have come when fresh, she trialled soundly at Deagon and from an outside draw Cejay Graham will take no prisoners.
ALL STASHED UP (7) brings winning form from weaker company but will enjoy a strong tempo and Vlad Duric can round them up late.
Verdict - TYPHOON TAAVI (3) the one to run down.
Eagle Farm Race 4
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Moreton Hire (Bm85) (1400m)
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34 | 34 | 41 | 34 | 34 | 21 | 910 | 34 | 36 | 31 | 41 | 34 | |||
51 | 41 | 51 | 41 | 41 | 32 | 910 | 51 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | |||
3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 2.46 | 2.84 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | |||
34 | 31 | 41 | 31 | 31 | 20 | 910 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 34 | 31 | |||
26 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 900 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 29 | 23 | |||
9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8.5 | 11 | 28 | 8 | 7.7 | 8.5 | 9 | 8.5 | |||
151 | 101 | 201 | 151 | 126 | 100 | 790 | 151 | 121 | 126 | 126 | 126 | |||
6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 8.8 | 24 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 6 | 6.5 | 6.5 | |||
5.5 | 6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 10 | 900 | 6 | 5.1 | 6 | 6 | 5.5 | |||
41 | 35 | 51 | 41 | 35 | 22 | 910 | 41 | 38 | 34 | 51 | 35 | |||
3 | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | 3 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 3.15 | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | |||
126 | 91 | 151 | 91 | 101 | 27 | 930 | 91 | 87 | 101 | 201 | 101 | |||
Market percentage
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120 | 121 | 118 | 120 | 122 | 136 | 71 | 120 | 121 | 122 | 118 | 122 | ||
Quick Bet
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There is a touch of class with ZOE'S PROMISE (3) which did well last preparation placing at Group 3 level and winning a Saturday race at Randwick. She resumes on the back of two trials and from a good gate will get every chance with Andrew Mallyon.
BLAKMAX (11) was beaten a long way by the stablemate Typhoon Taavi when resuming but a better gate helps and this extra distance on a bigger track are further pluses. He drops 7.5kg in the higher grade and will get every chance with Angela Jones.
EVOCATOR (8) gives a start but drops 5kg and will be hitting the line for Cejay Graham.
Verdict - HOLLYWOOD NORTH (6) ready to strike.
Eagle Farm Race 5
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BRC Members Qlty Hcp (1300m)
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3.9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 4.25 | 4 | 3.9 | 3.8 | |||
9.5 | 9.5 | 10 | 9.5 | 9 | 11.5 | 12.5 | 9.5 | 9.6 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9 | |||
3.9 | 4 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | |||
13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 17.5 | 13 | 14.2 | 13 | 14 | 14 | |||
12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 15.5 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | |||
5 | 5 | 5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 6 | 6.2 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | |||
81 | 61 | 101 | 67 | 67 | 100 | 130 | 71 | 61 | 61 | 91 | 67 | |||
15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 18.5 | 19.5 | 14 | 16.2 | 15 | 15 | 15 | |||
6.5 | 7 | 7 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 8 | 8.2 | 7 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 7 | 6.5 | |||
126 | 91 | 201 | 91 | 126 | 260 | 350 | 81 | 101 | 101 | 126 | 126 | |||
Market percentage
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122 | 121 | 118 | 120 | 121 | 102 | 98 | 119 | 121 | 120 | 118 | 121 | ||
Quick Bet
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Ciaron Maher has brought KEEP YOUR COOL (10) North after consecutive wins in NSW. An improving filly she drops 7kg on last start and Robbie Dolan will test them late.
INHIBITIONS (2) was never likely on a heavy track at Randwick but her previous form was sound and she will get every chance with Jim Orman.
WEIGALL TIGER (4) won four on end last preparation with Cejay Graham and while well beaten in the Magic Millions Guineas showed he was ready to resume at a recent trial. With gate one to help he won't be far away in running.
Verdict - GOLDEN DECADE (3) to make his presence felt.
Eagle Farm Race 6
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Ladbrokes Dalrello Stakes (1000m)
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10 | 9.5 | 10 | 9 | 9.5 | 12 | 40 | 9 | 8.2 | 9.5 | 11 | 9.5 | |||
5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 6 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 10 | 5.5 | 6.1 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | |||
5.5 | 6 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6 | 3.25 | 5.5 | 6 | 6.1 | 5.5 | 6 | 6 | |||
7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7.5 | 4.2 | 7.6 | 7 | 7.1 | 7 | 7.5 | 7.5 | |||
81 | 61 | 81 | 71 | 67 | 25 | 110 | 81 | 67 | 71 | 81 | 67 | |||
2.7 | 3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.82 | 2.8 | 2.55 | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.7 | |||
21 | 19 | 23 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 800 | 21 | 21.5 | 21 | 20 | 20 | |||
23 | 20 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 36 | 30 | 21 | 25.5 | 21 | 23 | 21 | |||
12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 6.6 | 48 | 12 | 13.2 | 12 | 11 | 12 | |||
17 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 15 | 800 | 21 | 21.5 | 18 | 18 | 17 | |||
Market percentage
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122 | 120 | 116 | 118 | 121 | 159 | 86 | 120 | 121 | 122 | 119 | 121 | ||
Quick Bet
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PARETO (4) franked his trial bolting in on a heavy track at the Sunshine Coast on debut. This is harder on the quick back-up but he has upside and won't be far away in running.
ZOUNA (2) has had a freshen-up after winning both outings. A good gate helps and he will make his presence felt again.
MISHANI LILY (7) has had a solid campaign but showed she is thriving with a dominant performance last start. From the ace draw Vlad Duric will take no prisoners.
Verdict - EMBASSY (3) has the most to offer.
Eagle Farm Race 7
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The Star (Bm78) (1200m)
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13 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 2.32 | 900 | 12 | 9.2 | 12 | 12 | 12 | |||
14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 1.51 | 18.5 | 13 | 14.2 | 13 | 14 | 13 | |||
11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 1.14 | 12.5 | 12 | 9.8 | 11 | 12 | 11 | |||
16 | 16 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 22 | 18 | 14.6 | 16 | 17 | 16 | |||
9 | 9.5 | 9 | 9.5 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 10.2 | 9 | 9 | 9 | |||
8.5 | 8.5 | 10 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 1.51 | 900 | 8 | 6.7 | 8 | 8.5 | 8.5 | |||
2.6 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 1.33 | 880 | 2.7 | 3.05 | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.8 | |||
8 | 7.5 | 8 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 4 | 9.6 | 8 | 6.1 | 7.5 | 8 | 7.5 | |||
51 | 46 | 61 | 51 | 46 | 1.51 | 85 | 61 | 41 | 51 | 51 | 46 | |||
8 | 8 | 8 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.4 | 900 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 8 | 8 | 7.5 | |||
51 | 61 | 61 | 41 | 51 | 1.51 | 85 | 51 | 40 | 51 | 61 | 51 | |||
Market percentage
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120 | 121 | 117 | 122 | 121 | 529 | 40 | 120 | 127 | 121 | 118 | 121 | ||
Quick Bet
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The stablemate DEVASTATING (9) isn't one to win out of turn but rarely runs poorly and is fitter for two outings, Vlad Duric stays on and he will be well placed throughout.
WARBY (10) won twice from four outings last preparation and looked ready to go at a recent trial. He can give a start but draws to do no work and with Ryan Maloney will be rounding them up late.
OUGHTON (3) has returned from Hong Kong where he was a decent Class 3 horse and that should stack up here. He trialled soundly on the Gold Coast polytrack and Melissa Kelly will have him ready to go with winkers and a tongue-tie.
Verdict - Another open race, MINTAKA LAD (12) races well fresh.
Eagle Farm Race 8
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u&u Recruitment Victory Stakes (1200m)
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4 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 3.25 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 | |||
10 | 9.5 | 10 | 11 | 9.5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 9.9 | 10 | 9.5 | 9.5 | |||
4.4 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 6 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4.5 | |||
9 | 9 | 10 | 8.5 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 8.5 | 8.1 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 9 | |||
34 | 27 | 41 | 41 | 31 | 21 | 48 | 41 | 43 | 41 | 29 | 31 | |||
6.5 | 7 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 7 | 6.8 | 13.5 | 6.5 | 7.6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | |||
34 | 31 | 41 | 31 | 31 | 18 | 26 | 31 | 35 | 31 | 41 | 31 | |||
6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6 | 6.5 | 5.9 | 11.5 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | |||
7 | 8 | 8.5 | 8 | 8 | 5.5 | 7 | 8 | 6.6 | 7.5 | 8 | 8 | |||
Market percentage
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120 | 119 | 115 | 119 | 120 | 125 | 90 | 118 | 123 | 119 | 120 | 120 | ||
Quick Bet
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WEE NESSY (9) beat her own sex in a Group 2 last start and while this is harder she is an improving mare learning how to win. From gate one, Adan Hyeronimus can box seat and she will be hard to hold out.
Visors replace winkers on GOLDEN MILE (2) which also brings Group 1 form but drops back in trip. He has had two 800m trials to freshen him up and can make his presence felt.
PRINCE OF BOOM (4) went way too hard when resuming but has a good record here at this trip. Michael Rodd replaces Noel Callow and with 2kg less will give them something to chase.
Verdict - UNCOMMON JAMES (1) the one to beat.
Eagle Farm Race 9
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Sky Racing Queensland Guineas (1600m)
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9 | 8.5 | 9 | 9 | 8.5 | 9.8 | 890 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8.5 | |||
5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 6.2 | 5 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | |||
41 | 51 | 51 | 41 | 46 | 2 | 75 | 51 | 41 | 51 | 61 | 46 | |||
19 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 17.8 | 18 | 19 | 17 | |||
14 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 1.59 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | |||
61 | 61 | 71 | 51 | 61 | 2 | 95 | 71 | 43 | 61 | 67 | 61 | |||
9.5 | 9.5 | 10 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9 | 12 | 9.5 | 9.6 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | |||
6 | 6 | 6 | 6.5 | 6 | 6 | 6.8 | 6 | 6.3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |||
51 | 46 | 51 | 34 | 46 | 2.28 | 65 | 41 | 39 | 51 | 51 | 46 | |||
7 | 7 | 7.5 | 7 | 7 | 2.98 | 8.8 | 6.5 | 7.1 | 7 | 6.5 | 7 | |||
151 | 201 | 301 | 151 | 201 | 3 | 460 | 151 | 141 | 201 | 201 | 201 | |||
41 | 41 | 51 | 34 | 41 | 7.6 | 70 | 41 | 34 | 41 | 51 | 41 | |||
26 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 2 | 32 | 26 | 23 | 23 | 26 | 23 | |||
19 | 16 | 19 | 15 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 14.8 | 18 | 18 | 17 | |||
23 | 27 | 29 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 40 | 26 | 18.6 | 26 | 29 | 26 | |||
7.5 | 8 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 2 | 8.8 | 7.5 | 8.1 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | |||
Market percentage
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119 | 121 | 115 | 122 | 121 | 560 | 88 | 121 | 123 | 119 | 118 | 121 | ||
Quick Bet
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KINTYRE (1) drops back in trip after winning in the Stewards Room last start at Randwick. He came from a wide gate to place in similar class over this trip two starts back and from a better gate this is not beyond him.
TRANSATLANTIC (9) can have a think but there is no doubting his ability and out of an Oaks winner will relish this trip. Jim Orman rode him to a narrow defeat from a wide gate last start and can go one better.
CAFE MILLENIUM (5) can mix his form but is now a gelding and finished in a photo finish with Celestial Legend and Militarize in a far stronger Group 1 three starts back. He found trouble last start but Martin Harley knows what to do and will get back from the wide gate to hit the line.
Verdict - PORT LOCKROY (8) to overcome the gate.
GRAEME'S BEST BETS AND QUADDIE
BEST BET:
HOLLYWOOD NORTH (Race 4 No.6)
NEXT BEST:
GOLDEN DECADE (Race 5 No.3)
VALUE BET:
REDWOOD SHADOW (Race 2 No.10)
QUADDIE:
Race 6 - 2,3,4,7
Race 7 - 9,10,12
Race 8 - 1,2,9
Race 9 - 1,8,9
$108 = 100 per cent of the dividend
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