Eagle Farm preview and tips: $6 best bet [Saturday, April 27]
The Queensland Carnival continues to build with three Listed races headlining Saturday's Eagle Farm card.
READ: Rosehill Preview & Tips - $71 value play
Eagle Farm Race 1
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Stradbroke Calcutta On Sale Now (Bm75) (1815m)
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13 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 12.2 | 13 | 13 | 12 | |||
11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 46 | 11 | 11.4 | 11 | 12 | 11 | |||
41 | 46 | 61 | 51 | 51 | 2 | 910 | 51 | 51 | 41 | 61 | 51 | |||
8.5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 9.2 | 8 | 7.6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | |||
16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 2 | 90 | 18 | 17.8 | 17 | 17 | 17 | |||
2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.75 | 2.65 | 2.6 | 2.7 | |||
3.7 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 6 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.7 | |||
6 | 6 | 6 | 5.5 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 5.2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |||
Market percentage
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119 | 120 | 118 | 117 | 119 | 304 | 86 | 116 | 119 | 118 | 117 | 119 | ||
Quick Bet
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SOLAR APEX (1) has a decent impost but the 3kg claim for Jake Molloy helps and he wasn't far away in a stronger race here last start. He lacks dash but a good gate helps and he won't be far away in running.
CONNECTICUT (7) is getting plenty of racing but has thrived since coming North. He was used up mid-race last week but Kyle Wilson Taylor won on him two starts back with a positive ride and he drops 3.5kg.
DARK HARMONY (4) is yet to be tried at this trip but is now at peak fitness with four runs under his belt and there is stamina in the dam's side of his pedigree. He likes to run them along and given his way in front can be hard to run down.
Verdict - NORTHERN DECREE (9) to go on with it.
Eagle Farm Race 2
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Mount Franklin (Bm78) (2400m)
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9 | 9 | 9 | 9.5 | 9 | 8 | 16.5 | 9 | 9.6 | 9 | 9.5 | 9 | |||
10 | 9.5 | 10 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 28 | 9.5 | 8.2 | 9.5 | 10 | 9.5 | |||
15 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 25 | 890 | 17 | 16.8 | 16 | 17 | 15 | |||
8.5 | 8.5 | 9 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 7.2 | 11.5 | 8.5 | 8.6 | 8.5 | 9 | 8.5 | |||
10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 8.6 | 10 | 11 | 8.3 | 10 | 8.5 | 10 | |||
3.6 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 3.65 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.7 | |||
251 | 201 | 401 | 201 | 201 | 110 | 980 | 201 | 201 | 201 | 501 | 201 | |||
11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 9.2 | 12.5 | 11 | 13.8 | 11 | 13 | 11 | |||
3.1 | 3.1 | 3 | 3 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.55 | 3.1 | 2.95 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 3.1 | |||
Market percentage
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119 | 119 | 118 | 120 | 119 | 117 | 87 | 118 | 121 | 119 | 114 | 119 | ||
Quick Bet
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SHEZADANDI (10) doesn't win out of turn but she came from a wide gate to beat all but BAK DA MAN (7) two starts back and meets him 4.5kg better. From a good gate she draws to do no work and will get her chance.
A DEEL OF HUMOUR (4) is a mare in form and was beaten less than a length in a similar field last start at Doomben. She won here three starts back and will hit the line.
TAPILDOODLEDO (1)'s last win was a Group 2 at Rosehill over a year ago. He has struggled since but his best efforts come here and there was improvement at his most recent outing. Blinkers come off and this may be his time of year.
Verdict - Nothing would surprise but BAK DA MAN (7) suited track and distance.
Eagle Farm Race 3
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Stradbroke Season Book Now Hcp (1200m)
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5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 1.48 | 48 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | |||
21 | 19 | 26 | 20 | 21 | 17.5 | 34 | 21 | 18.2 | 21 | 23 | 21 | |||
16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 3.2 | 900 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | |||
6.5 | 6.5 | 7 | 7 | 6.5 | 1.37 | 8.6 | 7 | 6.4 | 7 | 6.5 | 6.5 | |||
4 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 30 | 900 | 4.6 | 4.65 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.2 | |||
34 | 31 | 34 | 31 | 31 | 2.02 | 42 | 31 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 31 | |||
81 | 67 | 101 | 67 | 71 | 5.1 | 150 | 61 | 65 | 61 | 81 | 71 | |||
21 | 20 | 26 | 20 | 21 | 5 | 900 | 21 | 19.8 | 20 | 20 | 21 | |||
61 | 61 | 71 | 61 | 61 | 10.5 | 90 | 61 | 53 | 51 | 67 | 61 | |||
2.8 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 280 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.75 | 2.8 | 2.8 | |||
18 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 2.02 | 900 | 19 | 20.5 | 19 | 18 | 18 | |||
251 | 201 | 331 | 201 | 201 | 15.5 | 820 | 126 | 221 | 201 | 201 | 201 | |||
Market percentage
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122 | 122 | 118 | 119 | 122 | 371 | 22 | 120 | 122 | 121 | 119 | 122 | ||
Quick Bet
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BRUTAL BOWLER (5)'s dam was a good racemare and he was dominant at a recent trial. The gate tests but Kris Lees and Andrew Mallyon have a long association and he will know what to do.
The gate also tests SUPERALLOY (1) which has been gelded since his gallant second to Mishani Aloha in the Aquis Jewel. He won a recent Toowoomba trial and Angela Jones will put him in contention.
HAMILTON BROWN (2) started at Winx odds on the Gold Coast poly but got it done quite comfortably on debut. He has improvement and will be prominent.
Verdict - Watch the market but going with OVERFULL (4).
Eagle Farm Race 4
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Sky Racing (Bm75) (1400m)
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14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 60 | 16 | 13.4 | 15 | 15 | 14 | |||
11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12.5 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | |||
34 | 31 | 34 | 34 | 31 | 11.5 | 900 | 34 | 29.5 | 31 | 34 | 31 | |||
41 | 41 | 51 | 41 | 41 | 26 | 910 | 41 | 39 | 41 | 51 | 41 | |||
5.5 | 5.5 | 6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 12 | 6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | |||
101 | 91 | 126 | 101 | 101 | 19 | 930 | 101 | 93 | 101 | 126 | 101 | |||
9.5 | 8.5 | 9 | 10 | 9.5 | 6.4 | 10 | 9.5 | 9.7 | 9 | 9.5 | 9.5 | |||
51 | 51 | 61 | 51 | 51 | 20 | 910 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | |||
14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 80 | 14 | 14.6 | 15 | 15 | 15 | |||
3.9 | 4 | 4 | 4.2 | 4 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 4 | 4.05 | 4 | 4 | 4 | |||
23 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 23 | 18 | 900 | 21 | 19.2 | 23 | 23 | 23 | |||
15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 8 | 80 | 17 | 14.4 | 16 | 16 | 16 | |||
10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 13.5 | 28 | 10 | 10.2 | 10 | 9.5 | 10 | |||
7 | 7 | 6.5 | 6 | 6.5 | 4.9 | 14.5 | 6 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | |||
151 | 101 | 201 | 151 | 126 | 34 | 960 | 101 | 141 | 126 | 151 | 126 | |||
Market percentage
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122 | 122 | 117 | 122 | 122 | 154 | 63 | 120 | 123 | 122 | 121 | 122 | ||
Quick Bet
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Some of these met a fortnight ago and the resuming POETIC DRAMA (8) was rounding them up late finishing just off the stablemates Sonora and BRENTWOOD (1). She gives them a start but this is her best track and is two from two at the trip.
BRENTWOOD (1) has plenty of weight and did everything but win when run down by the stablemate at Doomben. He had a veterinary issue here two starts back but his overall form has been consistent and will get every chance with Jim Orman.
The stablemate BLAZEN BOOTS (18) put the writing on the wall last start at Doomben. He drops back in trip but is better suited on the bigger track, drops 2kg and Ryan Maloney knows when to press the button,
Ciaron Maher begins his Winter assault with SCENTIFY (5) which has found the top three-year-olds beyond him at recent outings but will be more comfortable against these benchmark horses. Visors go back on, his best efforts come when fresh and from the good gate Robbie Dolan will give him every chance.
Verdict - Some value with POETIC DRAMA (8).
Eagle Farm Race 5
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Tom Treston (Bm90) (1300m)
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71 | 61 | 81 | 91 | 67 | 3 | 140 | 81 | 97 | 71 | 67 | 67 | |||
81 | 61 | 101 | 91 | 71 | 3 | 920 | 101 | 93 | 71 | 81 | 71 | |||
21 | 19 | 23 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 21.5 | 20 | 19 | 19 | |||
5.5 | 6 | 6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 5.8 | 6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | |||
23 | 21 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 5 | 28 | 26 | 30 | 23 | 23 | 23 | |||
13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 1.28 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 | |||
3.8 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 4 | 10.5 | 3.7 | 3.65 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.7 | |||
14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 50 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | |||
12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 17.5 | 11 | 11.6 | 12 | 12 | 12 | |||
12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 10.4 | 12 | 12 | 12 | |||
8 | 8 | 8 | 6.5 | 7.5 | 6 | 17 | 7.5 | 6.2 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | |||
7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7 | 7.5 | |||
71 | 61 | 81 | 67 | 61 | 3 | 680 | 71 | 67 | 71 | 67 | 61 | |||
16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | |||
Market percentage
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121 | 122 | 118 | 123 | 123 | 517 | 65 | 120 | 124 | 121 | 122 | 123 | ||
Quick Bet
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NASHIRA (10) has been improved by two outings but can do plenty wrong at the start. He has won three times here previously and if Kyle Wilson-Taylor can avoid strife will be in the finish.
BETTCHA THE CROWN (7) has been freshened since just missing in a Class 6 at the Gold Coast. An improving four-year-old he has a good first-up record and with not much speed in this, Cejay Graham can take the bull by the horns.
NEVER NO MORE (3) mixes his form and was never in it at Doomben though there were excuses after being held up in the straight. He has raced well at tis track previously, placing at Listed level and a repeat has him in the finish.
Verdict - NED'S GULLY (6) gets the best run.
Eagle Farm Race 6
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Ladbrokes Mick Dittman Plate (1000m)
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7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 8.6 | 8.8 | 7 | 8.1 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | |||
34 | 41 | 51 | 41 | 35 | 60 | 65 | 51 | 36 | 34 | 51 | 35 | |||
16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 19.5 | 21 | 17 | 15.4 | 16 | 16 | 15 | |||
201 | 151 | 301 | 151 | 151 | 330 | 390 | 151 | 161 | 151 | 201 | 151 | |||
101 | 81 | 126 | 101 | 81 | 140 | 160 | 101 | 97 | 91 | 101 | 81 | |||
5 | 5 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 4.8 | 4.55 | 5 | 4.8 | 4.8 | |||
3.2 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 4 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 3.35 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 3.3 | |||
3.7 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 3.45 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.6 | |||
26 | 26 | 29 | 26 | 26 | 32 | 34 | 21 | 25.5 | 26 | 26 | 26 | |||
18 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 23 | 24 | 19 | 18.4 | 17 | 18 | 17 | |||
12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12.5 | 13.5 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | |||
251 | 201 | 351 | 201 | 201 | 390 | 530 | 151 | 191 | 201 | 301 | 201 | |||
Market percentage
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120 | 121 | 116 | 121 | 123 | 102 | 98 | 120 | 122 | 121 | 118 | 123 | ||
Quick Bet
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PARTY FOR TWO (8) returned to her best in the QTIS Jewel and was dominant in a recent trial. She is poorly drawn but has won twice at the trip and has the speed to cross.
ABOUNDING (6) proved her class winning the Magic Millions Guineas and while this trip looks too short she has a good first-up record, trialled well and can hit the line.
MALABOOM (10) was run down late here last start and while this is harder will strip fitter and get every chance with Jim Orman.
Verdict - SKIRT THE LAW (7) to resume a winner.
Eagle Farm Race 7
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XXXX (Bm85) (1000m)
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15 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 18.2 | 15 | 17 | 16 | |||
21 | 19 | 23 | 19 | 21 | 26 | 27 | 19 | 20.5 | 20 | 21 | 21 | |||
23 | 21 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 32 | 34 | 21 | 26.5 | 21 | 23 | 23 | |||
151 | 126 | 251 | 201 | 151 | 310 | 380 | 251 | 201 | 151 | 201 | 151 | |||
8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 8 | 10 | 10.5 | 9 | 7.2 | 8.5 | 9 | 8 | |||
12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14.5 | 12 | 12.2 | 12 | 13 | 12 | |||
5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 6.4 | 6.6 | 5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | |||
51 | 41 | 61 | 51 | 46 | 60 | 65 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 41 | 46 | |||
5 | 5.5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5 | 4.85 | 4.8 | 5 | 5 | |||
14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 18.5 | 16 | 14.4 | 15 | 14 | 14 | |||
7 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7 | 7 | 8.6 | 9 | 7 | 6.7 | 7 | 7.5 | 7 | |||
4.4 | 4.2 | 4 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.2 | |||
Market percentage
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123 | 120 | 118 | 120 | 122 | 101 | 98 | 120 | 121 | 122 | 118 | 122 | ||
Quick Bet
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FRILLED (7) brings Sydney form and has been freshened by two trials after being run down at both outings since resuming. Gates are important from this start and with Jim Orman she gets all the favours.
SHALAA'S MOMENT (12) gives them a start but has a powerful finish over this trip and was dominant last outing. This is harder but she drops 5kg and will be charging late.
HARDWARE LANE (3) is resuming and showed he was up to this class last preparation. He goes well fresh, has had jumpouts at the Gold Coast and will get every chance with Justin Huxtable.
Verdict - BLUE SPINEL (9) gets the gun run.
Eagle Farm Race 8
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Moreton Hire Brisbane Mile Qlty (1600m)
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23 | 23 | 31 | 26 | 23 | 8 | 1000 | 21 | 26 | 23 | 23 | 23 | |||
34 | 34 | 51 | 34 | 34 | 3.2 | 910 | 34 | 31 | 41 | 34 | 34 | |||
18 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 3.65 | 900 | 21 | 21.5 | 17 | 18 | 17 | |||
5 | 5 | 5.5 | 5 | 5 | 5.5 | 9 | 5 | 5.1 | 4.8 | 5 | 5 | |||
1.75 | 1.7 | 1.65 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.36 | 2 | 1.75 | 1.6 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.7 | |||
13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 900 | 13 | 13.8 | 13 | 12 | 13 | |||
31 | 31 | 41 | 34 | 31 | 7 | 910 | 31 | 35 | 31 | 29 | 31 | |||
19 | 20 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 5.1 | 900 | 21 | 23.5 | 20 | 20 | 21 | |||
11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 900 | 11 | 12.2 | 11 | 10 | 11 | |||
41 | 41 | 51 | 41 | 41 | 25 | 910 | 41 | 43 | 41 | 41 | 41 | |||
81 | 67 | 101 | 91 | 71 | 15.5 | 930 | 71 | 111 | 71 | 91 | 71 | |||
71 | 51 | 81 | 67 | 61 | 5.2 | 910 | 61 | 69 | 61 | 67 | 61 | |||
Market percentage
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120 | 122 | 115 | 119 | 122 | 241 | 62 | 120 | 121 | 121 | 122 | 122 | ||
Quick Bet
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OVERRIDING (8) is an improving mare that has won five of eleven and was too good in Saturday grade at Newcastle last start. From a good gate she will get all the favours with Kyle Wilson-Taylor.
Fitter for two outings, blinkers come off WILLIAMSBURG (4) and a nose roll goes on. He hasn't won for 81 weeks but will find this easier than NSW Group 3s, has won twice at the trip and will get every chance with Jim Orman.
OSCAR ZULU (3) is another that hasn't won for a long time but his recent Doomben efforts have been sound. This bigger track suits and ridden handy by Jim Byrne he can be in the finish.
Verdict - JIMMYSSTAR (8) to shine.
Eagle Farm Race 9
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Aquis Stallions Princess Stakes (1600m)
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9 | 9.5 | 10 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 1.24 | 680 | 10 | 9.8 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | |||
3.1 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 2 | 9 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.2 | |||
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 8.2 | 6 | 5.1 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |||
18 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 5 | 40 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | |||
26 | 27 | 34 | 26 | 26 | 2 | 130 | 26 | 26.5 | 26 | 26 | 26 | |||
31 | 27 | 34 | 26 | 31 | 2 | 900 | 31 | 25 | 26 | 29 | 31 | |||
14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 55 | 16 | 15.2 | 15 | 12 | 14 | |||
26 | 26 | 29 | 26 | 26 | 2 | 900 | 26 | 25.5 | 23 | 26 | 26 | |||
15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 5.6 | 1000 | 16 | 15.2 | 15 | 15 | 14 | |||
6 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6 | 2 | 4.4 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6 | |||
251 | 151 | 351 | 151 | 201 | 3 | 940 | 151 | 181 | 201 | 201 | 201 | |||
19 | 18 | 21 | 18 | 19 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 17.8 | 19 | 19 | 19 | |||
126 | 91 | 151 | 101 | 101 | 3 | 940 | 126 | 99 | 101 | 151 | 101 | |||
19 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 3.1 | 30 | 21 | 21.5 | 19 | 19 | 18 | |||
31 | 31 | 34 | 26 | 31 | 2 | 900 | 26 | 26 | 31 | 29 | 31 | |||
251 | 201 | 501 | 201 | 301 | 3 | 1000 | 201 | 241 | 251 | 301 | 301 | |||
201 | 151 | 301 | 151 | 201 | 3 | 980 | 126 | 191 | 151 | 201 | 201 | |||
251 | 201 | 401 | 201 | 301 | 3 | 980 | 201 | 241 | 251 | 301 | 301 | |||
Market percentage
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123 | 122 | 116 | 122 | 122 | 742 | 58 | 120 | 124 | 122 | 121 | 122 | ||
Quick Bet
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FIRESTORM (11) only got clear late and ran on to just miss the placings in a Group 3 at Randwick last start. That stacks up well for this and with Mark Du Plessis she will be hard to hold out.
OCEANS OF ENERGY (6) beat a few of these last start, is fitter for two outings and will relish this trip. She benefited from a positive ride last outing and with a similar effort from Kyle Wilson-Taylor will be in the finish.
EXOTIQUE MISS (2) is on the quick back-up after fighting them all off to win the Daybreak Lover last week. She has drawn the carpark and steps up to 1600m but is a tough filly and may be up to it.
Verdict - AMAZONIAN LASS (1) for me.
GRAEME'S BEST BETS AND QUADDIE
BEST BET:
BLUE SPINEL (Race 7 No.9)
NEXT BEST:
NED'S GULLY (Race 5 No.6)
VALUE BET:
POETIC DRAMA (Race 4 No.8)
QUADDIE:
Race 6 - 6,7,8
Race 7 - 7,9,12
Race 8 - 5,8
Race 9 - 1,6,11
$27 = 100 per cent of the dividend
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